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The Mail on Sunday, the Met Office and the Temperature Standstill

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On January 29th David Rose wrote an article in the Mail on Sunday showing a graph of annual average global temperatures since 1997 according to the most commonly used version of the HadCrut3 database.



Fig 1. Click on image to enlarge.

It showed no increase in temperature. It has been often stated that there has been no statistically...

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2011 Global Temperature: Outside The Top 10

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Data for the three main surface global annual average temperature datasets are now available for 2011.

HadCrut3

According to (one of the ) HadCrut3 databases 2011 was the 12th warmest year, with a temperature anomaly of 0.342, behind 2010, 2009, 2007, 2006, 2005, 2004, 2003, 2002, 2001, 1998 and 1997.

The rating for the individual months...

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IPCC Models Close To Being Refuted By New Research

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The IPCC models are close to being refuted with respect to the magnitude of global warming even with the large Loeb et al values.

I posted earlier today on a report regarding the Earth’s heat balance; see

Missing Ocean Heat Study Reported On By Climate Wire – Response From Josh Willis

The Nature Geosciences paper referred to in that...

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Winning A Climate Bet

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Predictions, Neils Bohr once said, are difficult, especially about the future. They are even more interesting however, when there is money at stake.

In December 2007 I wrote what I thought was quite a straightforward article for the New Statesman pointing out that it was curious that when so many voices were telling us that global warming was...

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Eastern European Alps May Reveal Climate Clues

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Researchers are beginning their analysis of what are probably the first successful ice cores drilled to bedrock from a glacier in the eastern European Alps.

With luck, that analysis will yield a record of past climate and environmental changes in the region for several centuries, and perhaps even covering the last 1,000 years.  Scientists also...

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Will The Ice Return?

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Some 15,000 years ago, the spot where I am now writing this - Hampshire in England - was uninhabitable. The Arctic tundra that came before the green fields was home to very few animals and no humans. The ice sheet stopped only a few miles north of here, hardly moving for tens of thousands of years. Today's great cities including Birmingham...

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Pål Brekke: What’s Up With The Sun? A New Book

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Pål Brekke has a new book about the orange orb of delight that hovers over us. Our Explosive Sun is a colorful introduction that would be good for newcomers or those of you who teach intro courses in astronomy or physics.

The Sun has fascinated me for many years. This is perhaps not so strange since I walked my first steps at the solar...

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A Sharp Temperature Rise Predicted

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It is often interesting to see the reaction that some papers have. The recent paper by Huber and Knutti in Nature Geoscience that deals with the attribution of observed recent global warming to its cause has been hailed by some to be almost iron-clad proof that humans are responsible for practically all of the warming observed in the past 110...

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2011: Outside The Top Ten

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It’s that time of the year when many of us start thinking about the global annual average temperature. As time goes on I am increasingly thinking about what such a global average means, especially since warming (or lack of it) across the globe is very patchy. Of course, we haven’t got the full data in yet, but here are some thoughts before...

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