New Paper: Trends In Reported Flooding In The UK: 1884–2013
Andrew J. Stevens, Derek Clarke & Robert J. Nicholls (2014): Trends in reported flooding in the UK:
1884–2013, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 7 August 2014 – DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2014.950581
Abstract: A long term dataset of reported flooding based on reports from the UK Meteorological Office and
the UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology is described. This is possibly a unique dataset as the authors are
unaware of any other 100+ year records of flood events and their consequences on a national scale. Flood events
are classified by severity based upon qualitative descriptions. There is an increase in the number of reported
flood events over time associated with an increased exposure to flooding as floodplain areas were developed.
The data was de-trended for exposure, using population and dwelling house data. The adjusted record shows no
trend in reported flooding over time, but there is significant decade to decade variability.
This study opens a new approach considering flood occurrence over a long timescale using
reported information (and thus likely effects on society) rather than just considering trends in extreme