New Paper Confirms Himalayan Glaciers Not Melting

  • Date: 23/05/14
  • The Hockey Schtick

A paper published today in The Cryosphere surveys all glaciers in the Karakoram region of the Western Himalayas and finds overall glacier ice mass is stable to increasing over the past 3 to 4 decades.

The finding is in stark contrast to the IPCC’s infamous & embarrassing false prediction that all Himalayan glaciers would disappear by 2035. The paper corroborates another recent paper finding most of the 2000 Himalayan glaciers are stable and in a steady state.

According to the authors, “we conclude on a balanced/positive mass balance in the Karakoram since the 1980s or 1990s, or even earlier, induced by changing climatic conditions since the 1960s.”, “Out of 1219 glaciers in the inventory, the vast majority [79%] showed stable terminus positions (969)” and “Glacier recession is found for only 8% of the glaciers in the inventory, indicating decreasing numbers since the beginning of the 21st century, whereas the number of advancing glaciers has increased since then.”

Excerpt:

Conclusions and outlook

The present study utilizes different remote sensing-based methods to generate an updated glacier inventory for the entire Karakoram region. It provides a new comprehensive dataset on the state of advancing, stable, and retreating glaciers, including the temporal and spatial variations of frontal positions between 1976 and 2012. Out of 1219 glaciers in the inventory, the vast majority [79%] showed stable terminus positions (969). These findings support the assumption of the anomalous behavior of glaciers in the Karakoram in comparison to adjacent mountain ranges, which indicate glacier recession and thinning (Bolch et al., 2012; Hewitt, 2005; Gardelle et al., 2013; Kääb et al., 2012; Scherler et al., 2011). Glacier recession is found for only 8% of the glaciers in the inventory, indicating decreasing numbers since the beginning of the 21st century, whereas the number of advancing glaciers hasincreased since then. Considering the advance of small glaciers with assumed short response times of about 10–20 years, we conclude on a balanced/positive mass balance in the Karakoram since the 1980s or 1990s, or even earlier, induced by changing climatic conditions since the 1960s (Archer and Fowler, 2004; Bocchiola and Diolaiuti, 2013; Williams and Ferrigno, 2010; Yao et al., 2012).

The Cryosphere, 8, 977-989, 2014
www.the-cryosphere.net/8/977/2014/
doi:10.5194/tc-8-977-2014

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